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2024-12-14 03:57:42

CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.The onshore RMB closed at 7.2615 yuan against the US dollar at night, down 124 points from Tuesday's night closing. The turnover was $57.609 billion.Beijing successfully sold the first unlimited land plot since the price limit, with a transfer amount of 11.054 billion yuan. On December 12, the R2 second-class residential land of the land development project for shantytown renovation in Wanquansi Village, Fengtai District, Beijing was successfully sold at the reserve price, with a transfer amount of 11.054 billion yuan, which is also the first unlimited land plot sold in Beijing since the price limit in 2021. It is worth mentioning that this plot is the third plot with a total price exceeding 10 billion besides the old transformation of Jiuxianqiao in Chaoyang+the shed transformation of Sunheqian Weigou Group+the plot 0017 in Chaoyang Park North District of Zhongguancun, and the plot of Jiuxianqiao+shibalidian+xiaohongmen Group. (CSI Taurus)


Japanese enterprise survey: Enterprises believe that Trump's next presidential term will have a negative impact on the business environment, and 60% of Japanese enterprises expect that the trading range of USD/JPY will be between 140 and 150 by 2025. Half of Japanese companies expect higher profits in the next fiscal year.At the end of new york on Wednesday (December 11th), the main contract of CME bitcoin futures BTC was $102,000, up 5.44% from the end of new york on Tuesday. The main contract of CME ethereum futures DCR was reported at $3,855.00, up 4.70% from Tuesday. 


Bank of Brazil: The Committee has been paying close attention to how recent financial developments affect monetary policy and financial assets.The policy continued to catalyze the large consumption sector or welcome a new round of valuation to repair the market. On December 11, the A-share market shrank. The concept sector of big consumption has been concerned by the market, and the food, beverage and retail sectors are among the top gainers. Analysts believe that near the Spring Festival, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and the big consumer sector is expected to usher in a new round of valuation repair. An Yaze, chief analyst of the food and beverage industry of CITIC Jiantou Securities, said that the recent introduction of a series of incremental fiscal and monetary policies has released a clear policy signal to strive to achieve the goals and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year, focusing on boosting consumption and expanding effective domestic demand. The food and beverage industry is expected to usher in a turning point in the boom. (china securities journal)Market information: Israeli air strikes targeted the Palestinian people carrying security aid trucks in Rafah, causing medical casualties.

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